Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.747313 0.879811 1.023329 1.189658 1.376416 1.578939 1.814447
2025-05-04 0.527961 0.708877 0.924511 1.197065 1.528757 1.915648 2.397113
2025-05-11 0.372818 0.568823 0.824527 1.173975 1.629791 2.194538 2.936485
2025-05-18 0.279609 0.480881 0.765961 1.182999 1.759585 2.509846 3.538606
2025-05-25 0.204327 0.396796 0.692436 1.153738 1.826449 2.740823 4.042155
2025-06-01 0.159751 0.347070 0.656548 1.167186 1.945957 3.043045 4.651815
2025-06-08 0.122908 0.299607 0.613565 1.160283 2.029908 3.295936 5.203300
2025-06-15 0.104487 0.280781 0.613395 1.218137 2.212218 3.696425 5.978695
2025-06-22 0.086204 0.256721 0.598927 1.248567 2.351451 4.038712 6.684320
2025-06-29 0.066104 0.222026 0.557734 1.226223 2.401424 4.246593 7.199802
2025-07-06 0.054314 0.202991 0.543137 1.248173 2.523720 4.568991 7.896728
2025-07-13 0.044022 0.184041 0.524854 1.260016 2.627876 4.866048 8.565218
2025-07-20 0.035078 0.165819 0.505739 1.269921 2.732911 5.175934 9.277161
2025-07-27 0.026999 0.146500 0.480253 1.264043 2.809567 5.444635 9.938677
2025-08-03 0.019679 0.125442 0.445590 1.234102 2.838846 5.635535 10.484516
2025-08-10 0.015294 0.112793 0.429321 1.240926 2.936483 5.944914 11.231187
2025-08-17 0.010852 0.096247 0.398045 1.209453 2.956700 6.120980 11.765822
2025-08-24 0.008455 0.087605 0.387134 1.222923 3.065098 6.453657 12.567936
2025-08-31 0.006213 0.077424 0.368690 1.215554 3.130119 6.711432 13.252837
2025-09-07 0.005399 0.075680 0.377129 1.275446 3.336990 7.231291 14.395031
2025-09-14 0.004350 0.071025 0.374564 1.306944 3.486047 7.651563 15.379886
2025-09-21 0.002991 0.061571 0.352177 1.283767 3.516830 7.855710 16.000059
2025-09-28 0.002315 0.057176 0.347276 1.306509 3.647831 8.249951 16.959606